Narrative:

After receiving a WX briefing from the st petersburg FSS, which forecasted 1500 scattered, 12000 scattered with occasional 1 mi and fog, and observing at the launch site 2 mi visibility and a high scattered layer just prior to liftoff, all balloon pilots and crews determined a safe flight would be conducted with observed and forecast conditions. Approximately 10 mins into the flight, WX conditions rapidly deteriorated due to fog. Approximately 1/2 mi visibility was observed while at an altitude of 200 ft. Flight at 200 ft with 1/2 mi visibility could not be continued and no safe landing area was observed. Therefore, a climb through a 100 ft thick layer of fog was initiated and the flight was continued under VFR on top until a hole through the fog was found and a landing was made safely in a vacant lot at willow pond subdivision in lutz, fl. Considering fuel limits and density of fog ahead and familiarity with subdivision, I chose the landing area as the safest option. Cause: inaccurate WX forecast. Recommendation: increase margin for error in forecasts.

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Original NASA ASRS Text

Title: HOT AIR BALLOON FLT, VFR IN IMC.

Narrative: AFTER RECEIVING A WX BRIEFING FROM THE ST PETERSBURG FSS, WHICH FORECASTED 1500 SCATTERED, 12000 SCATTERED WITH OCCASIONAL 1 MI AND FOG, AND OBSERVING AT THE LAUNCH SITE 2 MI VISIBILITY AND A HIGH SCATTERED LAYER JUST PRIOR TO LIFTOFF, ALL BALLOON PLTS AND CREWS DETERMINED A SAFE FLT WOULD BE CONDUCTED WITH OBSERVED AND FORECAST CONDITIONS. APPROX 10 MINS INTO THE FLT, WX CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATED DUE TO FOG. APPROX 1/2 MI VISIBILITY WAS OBSERVED WHILE AT AN ALT OF 200 FT. FLT AT 200 FT WITH 1/2 MI VISIBILITY COULD NOT BE CONTINUED AND NO SAFE LNDG AREA WAS OBSERVED. THEREFORE, A CLB THROUGH A 100 FT THICK LAYER OF FOG WAS INITIATED AND THE FLT WAS CONTINUED UNDER VFR ON TOP UNTIL A HOLE THROUGH THE FOG WAS FOUND AND A LNDG WAS MADE SAFELY IN A VACANT LOT AT WILLOW POND SUBDIVISION IN LUTZ, FL. CONSIDERING FUEL LIMITS AND DENSITY OF FOG AHEAD AND FAMILIARITY WITH SUBDIVISION, I CHOSE THE LNDG AREA AS THE SAFEST OPTION. CAUSE: INACCURATE WX FORECAST. RECOMMENDATION: INCREASE MARGIN FOR ERROR IN FORECASTS.

Data retrieved from NASA's ASRS site as of July 2007 and automatically converted to unabbreviated mixed upper/lowercase text. This report is for informational purposes with no guarantee of accuracy. See NASA's ASRS site for official report.